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联系我时,请说明是从哪儿看到的,谢谢。
虽然知道离Busiess020 的最后考试还有一段时间。但是贴出来给大家先有个映像,别到考试的时候抱佛脚。我还会陆续贴出History028E的去年考试卷子。
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GM Overview5 o9 Q3 b" ]3 _) G9 _1 q
• Role, Timing, Issues/Decisions, C&Cs
6 l! V/ k$ l7 K" n# ^1 C$ Y5 N• Objectives
' R6 J+ s6 ~+ s. \5 [9 e– What do we “WANT” to do?; w; }' I- ?" A4 {0 @
• External Analysis; I2 L, ? E: `+ d" L6 [, [
– What do we “NEED” to do?
* p; [5 m+ ]1 j3 x. F1 ~+ K6 a– PEST, Consumer, Competition, Trade0 d; a, o0 s) R: \. g- S* x
• opportunities & threats6 S J9 K, x& O. `
– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs( w# U- ?: M6 d. [& M7 s7 u
• Internal Analysis; `& k( ?" K) h5 [, o5 U( i
– What “CAN” we do?) d$ j8 |# |* C' j- L2 y
– Finance, Marketing, Ops, HR
7 l) x- K! f! r) y2 E. w6 L• abilities, strengths & weaknesses
1 [0 o8 `8 s& T1 N– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs, CORPORATE CAPABILITIES
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) v% y7 X6 q& _. H$ O) Q" n! F• Alternative Evaluation# H# H5 I; H9 I6 }( U2 A+ g
– What are the options?; a: z8 }* h+ q/ M1 a+ w
– Evaluate the pros & cons of the options
' ^; l8 g) w; j r– How does this option “FIT”?
3 G5 ]: H+ S/ t/ ^+ t– (you may be able to eliminate options based exclusively on the poor “FIT”qualitatively - if so, make sure you explain why this option was nixed)2 X/ Z& d/ U* j3 L, j/ O) b
– Financial Feasibility (of AT LEAST 2-3 options that might “work”) ! r+ {- [6 S* N9 Z- s c: h; ]
$ n0 j7 h& m. [4 O• Decision9 n1 z" J M3 x) J
– Justify why you chose a particular option(s).; P" z9 f% k" c0 A% N! \
– YOU SHOULD BE CONVINCING
3 f. B5 ]# L& ~6 I+ V Z2 R1 t• Which strategy best meets the firm’s objectives?" a) d% `6 I x' W2 T" `6 b
• Does it satisfy the personal objectives as well?5 t8 j$ Z6 N# ?$ G% e* r. F5 x
• Have you addressed the cons of the chosen alternative?! V( F2 f k4 u4 @
• Is this decision consistent with the analysis you’ve done? EXPLAIN! (FITS)
4 P2 B: T5 A% G Z, y* ^• Why NOT the other options?6 F7 \5 s, c# {4 h
• How does this choice affect Finance, Marketing, Ops and HR? What changes
' D% `$ Y6 Z! |$ Uneed to be made?
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4 Y0 r. X6 {/ ^0 Q# W9 K• Action Plan
, Y7 Q* x! M( @. r• Map out a clear and precise implementation plan which includes;3 ]* E) \$ W4 m, i
– details which address what steps you have to take to implement your
; u, H {9 u8 C" T4 z' ^, Qdecision
6 E: k7 r" g/ V& K' \; t– details about timing( w; P/ J2 j0 y) a( u! k
– details about WHO will be responsible for accomplishing the ‘task’
1 q+ e2 k, K% S' W! {$ b– how will you follow-up your plan (measure success)- F( B! O3 |2 ^
– make sure to consider both the short term and long term
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, C' Q( i5 f' oFirm Valuation0 F6 |. U0 t8 l: o q8 D9 t' m) |
• Used to help managers determine the “price” of a company.
# X/ F0 b3 U4 |! \. m• 3 methods of valuing a firm;
8 {; S8 l" m8 \9 ?* h C- @! s– Net Book Value
- j* G0 M: L+ G* |. ?. R– Economic Appraisal5 j- [: E' y7 c; ^3 z5 h
– Capitalization of Earnings4 y# T* V$ g1 D) k
• Using all 3 methods (if possible) helps us to determine a RANGE of what the4 O, R; t8 A( e; G" d Z, U
company is worth. H W1 ]/ {2 e' b5 d
• THINK!!! What are you really selling? Will anyone pay for it? How much will they pay???
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0 r. a( I# s: a! o8 d Net Book Value (NBV)
& v z4 @0 e0 n. ^; _% W3 O# X* v– Total Assets - Total Liabilities* y* r. s% w- W) c0 I7 G+ u: B
• a.k.a.. the equity
; @, s$ W @) j$ c8 J, F# a+ r# S– Does not account for the present market value of the assets
, p, t* v3 ]& Z0 t* b# m) D– Calculated using the most recent given balance sheet) }2 P) b- f @' e
– Preferred method for banks, creditors, and/or buyers who are interested in selling off the assets of the business
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Economic Appraisal (EA)- b4 K H$ Z. m8 U& h- W
– Similar to NBV, but tries to reflect the current market value of the assets
* |" O$ n6 d+ V" @7 n8 n" G3 w– Total Appraised Assets – Total Liabilities
& d: F2 h/ T, B– Preferred by buyers who are interested in a company for its assets* z( [2 \/ u. ]$ s0 u
% x' U. s+ T* ]1 S
Capitalization of Earnings (CE)
* v( p& p; n8 }7 O' V1 I4 s/ @) Q– Focuses on the I/S instead of the B/S
- K" @+ Y% i. f. o& u$ ]& y4 A• Attempt to value the company in terms of the future income it may provide.
! C4 U* Z% X1 E) `9 L8 J– NPAT * P/E ratio = value
/ E8 I5 s4 I" {: f4 D. H– Must evaluate two different earnings figures (to determine risk & range)% F2 `! a6 A: b# x
• Assuming changes (projected statement), w% c' h; y8 h) G
• Assuming no changes (current given I/S)
/ | E9 N. E2 V" r }0 |– Select a reasonable P/E multiple
3 `4 V- V3 v' M8 Z* z– Preferred by buyers interested in the ongoing operation of the company (i.e.taking over as management)
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• P/E Multiple) v' k U& w# D- _% x- w
– Rules of thumb;
# I' n8 X/ s+ P7 |/ d& j- W• Mature industries with stable earnings tend to have multiples
7 B/ q+ t; O3 n- X) V+ |1 Rfrom 5 to 15.
# e0 f4 I1 \1 T$ O1 y* Y• High growth industries tend to have multiples exceeding 20.* t' S2 A: I" B% N, Z* z
• “Growth is good; risk is rotten!”
1 |9 f0 @$ \' J; z– growth increases a multiple5 O$ E9 O3 n: S* } G! t6 [
– risk decreases a multiple
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Their Associated Ratios
. Z! X5 H) u$ Y0 e• Profitability;) [) H3 J' z. I
– Business goal - to make $$
/ q- b, m( V5 ?- L– Ratios measures how much money we had to spend to make $X in sales& L" n' T/ E9 \0 n0 }7 U. L: G4 a/ D7 C
• Stability;1 S$ T. {5 k u2 P8 ^
– Business goal - to have a stable financial structure (balance its ownership of assets with debt and equity)4 n% Q6 @+ A# B% C. |$ F
– Ratios measure the firm’s means of financing assets and ability to pay interest on debts
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5 Financial Goals &Their Associated Ratios
, q7 g, B6 [. V • Liquidity;
1 Y( e- L- g4 R0 {' e/ m– Business goal - ability to meet s-t obligations/ f# o+ N+ T% \5 l
– Ratios measure how liquid the firm is (how able the firm is to pay its shortterm4 d: o/ n- Y4 @' O4 v
obligations)9 s- E5 Y0 f' y9 N% D* K& j3 {5 d( X
• Efficiency;
8 p' \# r2 d7 n. u H- [3 M+ Q– Business goal - to efficiently use assets1 l: V. W# j( \+ b
– Ratios tell us how efficiently we are using our investments. o8 M- K5 w! q2 n* e3 m
% |# G) k0 f. Z; J4 }+ ]4 w
• Growth;2 M8 X/ V3 X `
– Business goal - to increase in size( U4 V% W& J, E* Y9 ^* i+ j, E
– Ratios tell us whether the company is achieving any growth
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- b& H& P$ @( J8 F* M4 zInterpreting the Ratios. \5 h+ q; ?5 l# U& e
• Profitability;
8 S" \ z0 Y9 K- W: p" I– Vertical Analysis (of I/S). U% Q7 F! I& K$ F* K: D
I/S items * 100 = % 4 `7 m0 N4 r/ n; K
Sales/ `3 Z0 Z7 }/ N8 \( V5 C: Y8 B
• Tells us it cost us X% of sales to make those sales
9 Y( T( N/ `+ g7 H– Return on Investment/Equity& e0 a" Y. ^8 s: \$ n1 _
Profit ATB4D = % 4 |( t' T: e2 }) ?; h: s
Average Equity$ s$ x2 _) U2 _' `6 B* }1 `1 \+ P
[(Yr. 1 E + Yr. 2 E)/2]8 A; V! _* m9 x
• Tells us how much profit we made relative to the investment made by the owners
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4 X' }; J3 W# l; R• Stability;
8 _% S4 D. y9 Y– Net Worth: Total Assets
: l; N0 v7 _* l d' R. n" Z, T2 m8 Y$ uTotal Equity = % : P9 l( v4 s8 _/ w& p) g# U
Total Assets( {0 b J- B5 U8 X! `, y3 r
• tells us what % of assets were financed through owner’s money8 r4 A+ V( Q& Y5 {; x& h! e
– Debt to Assets, z2 |* e; \! P. N2 N2 ]" n
Total Debt = % 2 A+ ]: D. j9 ?
Total Assets% v$ w1 J, ~$ ~* ?4 w. _
• Tells us what % of the assets were financed through debt& B. K! K" c0 _- K/ x8 P3 I+ u
– Interest Coverage
. _4 N* R8 |9 W! h; l5 v EBIT = # times0 a- e7 ^" ?$ n% J' v% E% @, H2 m! I
Interest Expense# y8 c; W; }3 S8 e6 t: e
• tells us how many times we can pay interest9 @5 `1 y) ?5 c% \- @; t
. _% ^/ K$ v1 R8 v i0 ]
• Liquidity;: K# V( y# ?3 F0 w# x
– Current Ratio
( O2 {# r7 I1 _( v8 j( z) }8 p$ q2 NCurrent Assets = X:1* s6 A m# P. x# b& ^
Current Liabilities( Q( C; L3 q4 L' A
• Tells us, if we liquidated all our current assets, how many times we can pay our debts
* m/ J2 I" O% LRULE OF THUMB: 2:1& o+ p1 c" ~; Y& w* T6 n
– Acid Test6 U) g# M+ c) U; O' O9 @ G
Cash + M/S + A/R = X:1
5 N: L% W _+ _' V6 ]- n& V' t" kCurrent Liabilities
3 U7 x' V# Q* C9 X6 f• Tells us how many times we can pay our debts with the money easily available to us
! Z4 x% F) `, ~RULE OF THUMB: 1:1
: F8 o8 }* ? G# z2 A$ C" N
- h K( x) K _– Working Capital9 u8 r- b# x. l
C.A - C.L = $X
$ V0 ]8 s+ p6 t+ b$ y E( P; R• Tells us how much money we have to work with AFTER s-t debts are paid
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1 @! e4 @- y1 e$ I. J& L2 ~Efficiency;$ r! U. D+ H8 t! ?% v9 T: d; g
– Age of Receivables5 `) W5 S6 v$ H% h! E
Accounts Receivabl = # Days
2 G, {+ S* `0 C& J (Sales / 365); Q% N: C5 K0 ?3 z3 L
• Tells us how long it takes us to collect our $$4 l+ U) O$ y1 ]
, z8 I( E' K! A- Y4 l& A– Age Of Payables
$ e2 X/ T& d1 i4 P9 T" `Accounts Payable = # Days/ i: W* e4 L! L( R( u" u
(Purchases* / 365)
' ^; a3 ^+ f. Q, m! \$ F. \! O• Tells us how long it takes us to pay our bills; \7 N5 F9 r6 ~( e& _2 N
, d) @% e1 P) F7 A6 Z; v; L
– Age of Inventory' i) Q, P0 Q6 \7 A4 d& u
Inventory = # Days8 L i. t- ^0 ]% M
(COGS / 365); q. s" `" q" `1 X( j. H
• Tells us how long we are holding on to our inventory in the warehouse, j s4 X1 ]7 j: d# v; ]
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• Growth;( T, A3 h1 \& j
– Sales I7 [# l D+ x- f
– Net Income
; j; ^% [, a% V( C; F: ]' w– Total Assets
8 B6 h9 `7 |2 \– Equity) W3 O$ M. U8 t6 i: C
Yr. 2 - Yr. 1 = % O$ ~7 O5 U2 N# C
Yr. 1. [$ C' d* V2 h4 M6 y* p
• Tells us whether the accounts are growing (and hence the company)
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) r" W! `! m1 j! ?+ F/ z1 OUnderstanding Ratios+ l: R" V1 c3 M2 Y9 j# n, Q% ~; W
• DO NOT CONCLUDE THAT “THE RATIO IS GOOD/BAD”
) T1 ?$ W- }5 r* e* P• Either the NUMERATOR or the DENOMINATOR affects the ratio
7 h: j9 I# _) W. O• Ask yourself: “WHY HAS THE RATIO CHANGED & WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?”
' L7 x# _ b+ H. ^. m, ^+ j– Which number caused the change?
, j& M- ~+ T& O/ d– Look for increasing or decreasing trends over time.0 g; j2 N( i3 a* b: h* ^
– Will these trends continue? N, _5 n7 `/ a, X5 `, S) Y
– How does the company compare to the industry?2 r: o6 P! j* X, d( L+ [
5 ~% @% F$ J+ j1 k3 t0 ?4 T3 E- c0 S1 ], B' {. q( e
Classifying Costs
6 t1 S- P1 A& b4 [! Y• Variable Costs
; R: h9 q3 ~. k8 C# y– a cost incurred with every unit sold/produced (volume)
9 o& C8 e- Z* {& g" O• Fixed Costs+ Z& X$ [( i9 k$ b. o! b+ M% p
– cost that does not vary with volume |
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