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- 获赠鲜花
- 2 朵
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- 100 金币
- 注册时间
- 2006-3-26
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联系我时,请说明是从哪儿看到的,谢谢。
虽然知道离Busiess020 的最后考试还有一段时间。但是贴出来给大家先有个映像,别到考试的时候抱佛脚。我还会陆续贴出History028E的去年考试卷子。
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6 X" C, v2 }: TGM Overview
$ `3 t2 t. Z, \& B8 t• Role, Timing, Issues/Decisions, C&Cs7 e( i# y# h# ~+ }7 t" ]4 b
• Objectives) R) E2 ~: u3 b0 Z) \
– What do we “WANT” to do?# x" r9 g7 R1 E; H
• External Analysis) O( N+ z+ @2 g0 K; O4 I
– What do we “NEED” to do?6 \9 G$ L% z' [* R8 M
– PEST, Consumer, Competition, Trade
' F( Z* E& q1 z) r; J+ R2 J" g• opportunities & threats
3 a% n& j5 `7 t1 X6 E– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs
- b5 p" [6 _5 r& ^, T• Internal Analysis5 o1 l+ G; M3 K2 n0 A
– What “CAN” we do?
0 G" C! `' a: }. S* ]) K( S( H– Finance, Marketing, Ops, HR
1 G6 d7 l2 H( l5 d" F# s1 O% A• abilities, strengths & weaknesses1 U, v# \) r' g" x9 C5 h( S8 I! ~
– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs, CORPORATE CAPABILITIES& p7 t. I2 Z+ `9 r9 `! a7 F/ e
5 C, E! d5 m1 g$ l4 g
• Alternative Evaluation
5 Z$ c. g4 ] c3 R9 h/ `) p– What are the options?7 G2 H; r1 F9 A4 O
– Evaluate the pros & cons of the options
9 o+ x7 T7 A, v% D& k- \– How does this option “FIT”?
7 g( z" l6 M# c/ T- ]– (you may be able to eliminate options based exclusively on the poor “FIT”qualitatively - if so, make sure you explain why this option was nixed)) W2 H. b* ]0 G) R6 U, I
– Financial Feasibility (of AT LEAST 2-3 options that might “work”) 6 a( x# m. u* C/ s- i9 v }
0 ~: i _( y) }1 D# ^3 K
• Decision
5 H5 n4 c9 I+ g; t. W– Justify why you chose a particular option(s).8 m& X- G( L. b
– YOU SHOULD BE CONVINCING0 U9 E$ e: \ z* {2 B1 q
• Which strategy best meets the firm’s objectives?% g& q6 O! X+ N* }1 u+ v6 H
• Does it satisfy the personal objectives as well?0 R' k% B/ ?& E p: G: x: a) b4 C
• Have you addressed the cons of the chosen alternative?) Y2 J- D3 n! W7 n9 I
• Is this decision consistent with the analysis you’ve done? EXPLAIN! (FITS)
/ @. r7 K$ Y7 c- B$ `• Why NOT the other options?
- l0 W' C+ L( ^& Q; p• How does this choice affect Finance, Marketing, Ops and HR? What changes* L6 m' S, a) m9 x
need to be made?# v# F9 F$ j$ D) z+ F
- u: \$ I& y+ X0 X& S
• Action Plan
0 [; l8 Y- u/ c F, }& d• Map out a clear and precise implementation plan which includes;) }% [% q [3 c7 Y! h! @
– details which address what steps you have to take to implement your
& f/ w5 g. ?- z% ~# _decision
/ S/ D$ r8 C. W– details about timing% \6 Z% Z `+ ]/ j
– details about WHO will be responsible for accomplishing the ‘task’+ @& E/ B$ v9 K2 ~0 t
– how will you follow-up your plan (measure success)
; q4 \6 F/ b4 p" z/ [/ s! C3 {– make sure to consider both the short term and long term! Y7 {) o+ M1 ]# w! n
- d L7 q5 r$ r0 n
Firm Valuation
2 \, E' ^: l! X& @) @# @. {& f• Used to help managers determine the “price” of a company.# L$ K, @ [$ I2 U1 w7 B- T4 D
• 3 methods of valuing a firm;/ w8 R E: Q, a6 @% \
– Net Book Value/ g6 ^9 I/ k+ Z' P z/ Z$ _
– Economic Appraisal
; U0 V" w# [6 [4 p2 q/ p( _3 {5 ]– Capitalization of Earnings6 v* Q. j' s5 t) Q% ]2 E5 d9 x
• Using all 3 methods (if possible) helps us to determine a RANGE of what the
' e" K/ R5 G$ H/ w# v$ Fcompany is worth.3 T& Y' D- N: e/ l* ~5 u
• THINK!!! What are you really selling? Will anyone pay for it? How much will they pay???
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Y$ d* m8 k% M2 Z# B! j0 R6 S Net Book Value (NBV)
0 m8 t( o7 v7 b3 ?– Total Assets - Total Liabilities
. t* Q4 j( h, N* u• a.k.a.. the equity
% U/ Z! C7 T3 j4 ^1 \– Does not account for the present market value of the assets5 c8 h: g" i) {+ @
– Calculated using the most recent given balance sheet) p& E, k( f; B
– Preferred method for banks, creditors, and/or buyers who are interested in selling off the assets of the business4 Y) h, B1 C/ v: B& c% _& o
. t+ q( j: Y2 T" g, J
Economic Appraisal (EA)
' X! _5 D8 ^. u( W– Similar to NBV, but tries to reflect the current market value of the assets
" Z0 g T, O6 o! Y4 _– Total Appraised Assets – Total Liabilities' n/ ^- C0 W% N1 k2 z- ?
– Preferred by buyers who are interested in a company for its assets/ }7 H" |2 p( z; e( U1 _
) H5 S9 Q1 D3 J, m) F
Capitalization of Earnings (CE)! X) T. S9 B. O* X& x- F
– Focuses on the I/S instead of the B/S
6 f. }4 {" j; K2 @• Attempt to value the company in terms of the future income it may provide.6 V+ m) |, L+ h. J& h6 Q. a! t
– NPAT * P/E ratio = value
5 _ P" i8 A$ w8 z* e" U; z/ M– Must evaluate two different earnings figures (to determine risk & range)! e# D. ]; @! ^9 t% x9 H1 n
• Assuming changes (projected statement)
8 i% Q4 B8 U/ s+ o• Assuming no changes (current given I/S)* V& W- s+ {0 D* F6 G/ R5 b3 Z
– Select a reasonable P/E multiple) Q, ~6 `, O6 r5 o( B
– Preferred by buyers interested in the ongoing operation of the company (i.e.taking over as management)8 r& u* Y w1 d. ]
8 |8 J P; L9 w
• P/E Multiple
! [4 a( o1 {. ~5 r& g; V2 r2 a– Rules of thumb;: U& ^) ^' b G# R7 I3 X
• Mature industries with stable earnings tend to have multiples' n' w ?) j8 V+ ]- ~6 g2 Y6 f
from 5 to 15.4 s: L& A7 l6 O) i5 T2 s- i: M/ u
• High growth industries tend to have multiples exceeding 20.2 w3 s: h8 T: U( z* q
• “Growth is good; risk is rotten!”( H1 K6 q+ M( k0 Y9 _
– growth increases a multiple
: d1 Y( [; V$ t, V* J– risk decreases a multiple
3 v3 H. s5 F2 d4 J) w, d
3 C5 k' G8 b$ KTheir Associated Ratios+ P" g) H" F+ L) ^/ P, c7 O
• Profitability;
/ a( A. Q$ Z; B3 ^# H. a– Business goal - to make $$
0 |- w5 L$ R) g5 z! T0 P* I1 b, z– Ratios measures how much money we had to spend to make $X in sales t, `/ R5 e/ F2 ?% y6 n
• Stability;
1 b! R5 m, `% ~% M– Business goal - to have a stable financial structure (balance its ownership of assets with debt and equity)% o$ U, I/ I- J1 G: w1 B7 N
– Ratios measure the firm’s means of financing assets and ability to pay interest on debts
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5 Financial Goals &Their Associated Ratios
" c+ d& G v; l+ S/ Y: L2 E& @ • Liquidity;% \ l4 z0 I' L' g3 U3 [- G
– Business goal - ability to meet s-t obligations
9 s6 Y, m0 c) z1 J% u, { H– Ratios measure how liquid the firm is (how able the firm is to pay its shortterm
6 j( J/ o% k1 g* ]4 W/ sobligations) @6 r; S0 W# y) `8 T6 a9 M
• Efficiency;
$ X5 N4 G5 l+ L, |& W5 o4 c; i: {– Business goal - to efficiently use assets
# p9 h1 u6 M9 Y) R– Ratios tell us how efficiently we are using our investments+ }" Y5 `+ H5 |
) Y0 p6 E7 i" \" h/ Y. e8 Q& [
• Growth; `( _6 s: e5 w. W. j7 Q
– Business goal - to increase in size
1 }$ r; J- j9 ^% s! s– Ratios tell us whether the company is achieving any growth
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4 l% ~) ]+ Q/ j$ _! N0 IInterpreting the Ratios5 x8 B' p5 p# b' t1 C8 R9 O2 I
• Profitability;
Y+ A- P7 G! ?# J* m, G7 j" P– Vertical Analysis (of I/S)' K! F* B4 w5 x3 ?: p% x- M1 M. s
I/S items * 100 = % $ @4 e3 @/ d% T% U2 F) u) Z
Sales# K. D3 F% m4 o/ B" W# A
• Tells us it cost us X% of sales to make those sales
* B5 q4 E4 @ D– Return on Investment/Equity9 x- w( Z5 V6 K3 t; \3 b
Profit ATB4D = % $ p9 E H. n: d
Average Equity! B; P) k4 V% t
[(Yr. 1 E + Yr. 2 E)/2]
S3 l* T5 U5 B: S• Tells us how much profit we made relative to the investment made by the owners4 E5 ]) Y- }5 P* M4 ^2 B
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• Stability;
) d3 ^" ^0 o/ w1 L+ \– Net Worth: Total Assets
* T2 M% K7 S; x6 C* L- ?! uTotal Equity = % ; v% |# U2 v2 O7 E) T
Total Assets
; s2 v1 B0 U% C6 Q ]6 j. h• tells us what % of assets were financed through owner’s money& P' u6 v; A3 q" K8 L% s( P
– Debt to Assets* } V' E- F$ q- [! q x2 U9 ~* m* j
Total Debt = % . L' H4 o8 i- J [
Total Assets: o3 `" b, z: I: Y% @- @8 w0 e% ?
• Tells us what % of the assets were financed through debt
8 i' o% ]0 C5 |, N6 F& j– Interest Coverage- e5 r( F! d- `3 t
EBIT = # times: v+ `3 D5 I/ ^3 C! F3 Y
Interest Expense
. R+ w9 f& A1 i• tells us how many times we can pay interest- M( j/ q+ }- {& |
9 n; s o" L/ |1 o8 k
• Liquidity;& \* E1 m; q" U7 `% I4 p5 V& y
– Current Ratio9 \; ?+ I' |0 o% p7 I, h
Current Assets = X:1. @' y3 Q3 U& q! q, Z3 G
Current Liabilities! [ h# C, e( h" T
• Tells us, if we liquidated all our current assets, how many times we can pay our debts
% V8 ` i( h$ T4 ] `$ d; `- RRULE OF THUMB: 2:1
9 o" O# v3 x+ }4 U; s– Acid Test
" }1 [. V4 Y6 W* V* FCash + M/S + A/R = X:1: s2 S0 }2 b$ t, v
Current Liabilities* `' \: G" O* E# C3 Q
• Tells us how many times we can pay our debts with the money easily available to us
r& N. R3 w8 _: `& Q% p6 lRULE OF THUMB: 1:1& ~8 _) P9 u: ]% R5 J: [
5 O1 P. P+ e. A– Working Capital
' \8 ^# Z3 V& t; u; O# G2 aC.A - C.L = $X
5 i5 E. T; n5 C: @• Tells us how much money we have to work with AFTER s-t debts are paid8 _* {$ W( S; p k
8 O1 L6 m V. J6 TEfficiency; G& ~/ O& d+ ]
– Age of Receivables
6 W: j+ L3 h( wAccounts Receivabl = # Days( k3 r. k+ C! `5 s1 y
(Sales / 365)# H4 P# Q; c3 }0 u/ X
• Tells us how long it takes us to collect our $$0 M$ V& e) F( I/ b+ {8 y
& X- F6 w2 s5 ?& S: j5 O+ D7 x
– Age Of Payables$ v- }6 _% u9 S
Accounts Payable = # Days
" H* O( S* |3 F7 d/ L2 I& C(Purchases* / 365)
$ q& S4 _" ?8 \+ E# O! M• Tells us how long it takes us to pay our bills
9 }6 d$ u2 `5 d& O
6 o+ x6 H9 ]) N: ~– Age of Inventory0 o2 F% h$ Y) q. X# W: Y$ e" d$ q
Inventory = # Days
9 G2 x8 G0 Q4 N$ ~& `* i, p(COGS / 365)8 q% L4 e% L! E7 o' g, m
• Tells us how long we are holding on to our inventory in the warehouse1 a m! } t0 q
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• Growth;5 ]6 ~) ]3 T) Y4 p% g8 ]( g
– Sales p1 ~ M7 W3 i T: R- q% }+ U& E' _% U
– Net Income
5 m, D+ T, B G2 p: T– Total Assets
/ ]* I } H) \– Equity
" k* \7 X/ a' b- s* IYr. 2 - Yr. 1 = %- K! M, N+ ^. M
Yr. 1. _+ L( M r" o! s8 |8 R; d' A
• Tells us whether the accounts are growing (and hence the company)! ^$ ] m5 k) j, ?
* s2 ]% f3 A4 h5 h' dUnderstanding Ratios
6 J+ e$ o) E6 [& v# K3 E A• DO NOT CONCLUDE THAT “THE RATIO IS GOOD/BAD”
; M. ^+ U$ J! o( C: M4 L @• Either the NUMERATOR or the DENOMINATOR affects the ratio
/ ^% D) A- C! d4 d/ J) X• Ask yourself: “WHY HAS THE RATIO CHANGED & WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?”
$ p6 ]; f3 |' m! m& u$ O– Which number caused the change?: S V8 k& E3 Q
– Look for increasing or decreasing trends over time.
' `/ c' t$ y7 S" i L– Will these trends continue?( o% s+ R0 ]8 X- D2 G& m3 A: c+ p
– How does the company compare to the industry?2 U5 T* V/ V, W9 M0 Q
2 h, J6 N/ i |$ B; _
0 k/ N. w* r: }* ~Classifying Costs, |9 o" f `+ V ^7 P4 S5 D
• Variable Costs
0 J% G9 k! C( @1 j4 ^8 J) B– a cost incurred with every unit sold/produced (volume)& G% N0 ]. A+ p* z$ V. Q4 A \
• Fixed Costs& X3 p# p( O' d( o" D
– cost that does not vary with volume |
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