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虽然知道离Busiess020 的最后考试还有一段时间。但是贴出来给大家先有个映像,别到考试的时候抱佛脚。我还会陆续贴出History028E的去年考试卷子。
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GM Overview, Z: W) Y8 p: w$ |( ?
• Role, Timing, Issues/Decisions, C&Cs
* u. w- K: d$ s4 t/ k• Objectives2 v+ l- j# P& y5 h0 Q( i
– What do we “WANT” to do?
# q# E/ J$ r8 m/ C/ E( `• External Analysis0 X, d( u( [0 ]2 \9 H, P0 k/ a
– What do we “NEED” to do?
9 k/ ^( s, D5 T: ?5 c– PEST, Consumer, Competition, Trade
5 Q7 u& D3 L' K3 i• opportunities & threats
( @: X- d( e- a! W2 t5 M9 Y- K– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs6 J/ R7 V# m, m% j' j, \* t P
• Internal Analysis
! i1 `6 @" Q, k/ ]8 v# ~+ {! _- V– What “CAN” we do?
6 A, f& p8 [1 @– Finance, Marketing, Ops, HR
B- j2 M; x5 v. J; q' \• abilities, strengths & weaknesses
* g" A9 o) \2 I7 w" U; r4 J9 b– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs, CORPORATE CAPABILITIES
, \8 u* ^$ R5 v$ n
% C! |$ Y/ c- p; v' e) z+ L• Alternative Evaluation
3 G) C! ?/ W% t) ]– What are the options?& _) E0 I6 c, V2 a7 Y
– Evaluate the pros & cons of the options
% I- d: Y4 j- K. x– How does this option “FIT”?
5 U1 q/ I. G8 o6 Y, C: Y– (you may be able to eliminate options based exclusively on the poor “FIT”qualitatively - if so, make sure you explain why this option was nixed)
9 s, X+ J6 c4 D1 o8 P r– Financial Feasibility (of AT LEAST 2-3 options that might “work”)
6 V/ v3 D; r3 M9 w' C0 A/ h
0 z$ G, L5 F* e; D* e- M• Decision
0 @7 V: ^( T0 e4 G5 A$ {# w– Justify why you chose a particular option(s).: a. O5 j2 t3 \
– YOU SHOULD BE CONVINCING8 U' x" j/ \ a' @+ L* d
• Which strategy best meets the firm’s objectives?# e+ m2 z0 B+ t% _! u
• Does it satisfy the personal objectives as well?
: p, Z" Z' [+ J+ @7 _( V7 [# V• Have you addressed the cons of the chosen alternative?& y+ L7 _6 Y; } A" j. ^2 w& p
• Is this decision consistent with the analysis you’ve done? EXPLAIN! (FITS)$ g. Q* r& p. k
• Why NOT the other options?* @8 v/ ]. k6 r1 p0 ~. _
• How does this choice affect Finance, Marketing, Ops and HR? What changes
7 j; W% E) g" ]! q- gneed to be made?
. n T+ m) Z+ e; {5 t5 ^$ @
2 }: l& e/ \7 i" C+ Q- U• Action Plan* {) ^3 B! J9 H6 W, p
• Map out a clear and precise implementation plan which includes;, f* z+ e% u( a1 g4 e" l
– details which address what steps you have to take to implement your
1 Q3 x: [5 J# I# d. M |. ?decision* W3 o E8 s2 r8 P" z
– details about timing; u* a3 v, |7 ~0 b
– details about WHO will be responsible for accomplishing the ‘task’
' e* V7 F9 B4 H/ E( v9 X% k* ]% ?– how will you follow-up your plan (measure success)( Z n( j8 Y& |/ {6 m3 G
– make sure to consider both the short term and long term
5 T( ^4 N$ U; d# A; n
! [8 N- T2 D% t2 H- V. y! BFirm Valuation
+ {1 y& C# p: L7 ~, }( h# r• Used to help managers determine the “price” of a company.
3 p4 l* B' e- w• 3 methods of valuing a firm;% h0 r5 {4 O4 `% X: l
– Net Book Value
2 ~7 J0 L: C* E- a; L1 k– Economic Appraisal# F$ C! r8 Z: o1 I' g
– Capitalization of Earnings' J8 U/ ]7 \ F: L( ?
• Using all 3 methods (if possible) helps us to determine a RANGE of what the
6 T: ?& O* f. O6 Pcompany is worth.
7 X( t9 F6 `' F• THINK!!! What are you really selling? Will anyone pay for it? How much will they pay???& A7 O7 D0 Q$ ?5 ~% ?9 x8 x0 q; L
' u" C' f9 V; j Net Book Value (NBV)2 H; X% C4 P$ x7 X- s
– Total Assets - Total Liabilities
2 U4 h ^ N1 J! P6 N, m• a.k.a.. the equity$ d) n& q- P: ?" z! u
– Does not account for the present market value of the assets
; J8 x- P! C+ J: W V- ^/ l/ {– Calculated using the most recent given balance sheet
: w: D& ^3 S2 m' N* r/ P0 d' r– Preferred method for banks, creditors, and/or buyers who are interested in selling off the assets of the business& F2 q2 w) [, u2 T Q6 C, o$ j! {
$ J& s$ f) v4 f* f- F9 w U8 Z
Economic Appraisal (EA)
3 Q0 p' A3 i7 U: L3 E– Similar to NBV, but tries to reflect the current market value of the assets
\$ l* c7 R% _2 [3 `2 u" Q– Total Appraised Assets – Total Liabilities" d k$ g3 A& c- B+ n
– Preferred by buyers who are interested in a company for its assets
) h2 X5 x' [7 T) p: z; B& f
6 V3 }' D! G6 { Capitalization of Earnings (CE)$ d1 C1 w: \9 N3 _' h: i, N% L
– Focuses on the I/S instead of the B/S
( o; h# V/ d& O: E* r5 _• Attempt to value the company in terms of the future income it may provide./ h7 u& g% Q, t4 h, @
– NPAT * P/E ratio = value
% \/ n9 S8 I" w2 \# ]2 r; Q |# q, h! ^– Must evaluate two different earnings figures (to determine risk & range)1 N+ s- P* V; y) q, ]; A3 ^1 {
• Assuming changes (projected statement)
; Z6 u1 Q9 P. u& k- J2 d) F+ x• Assuming no changes (current given I/S)
% _* Y. G z# i6 x– Select a reasonable P/E multiple
& i7 u# D' T# m– Preferred by buyers interested in the ongoing operation of the company (i.e.taking over as management)
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B0 _" A% O9 B* d0 V3 p5 t• P/E Multiple6 ^2 A! P+ G. ?4 k7 g
– Rules of thumb;
+ r1 z- N+ i% } m2 r, Q+ z/ r# M• Mature industries with stable earnings tend to have multiples
0 y& |# L4 Z$ j$ i7 b- Efrom 5 to 15.
5 l$ B- k; B8 I• High growth industries tend to have multiples exceeding 20.. P3 r1 R0 a' D; K6 ?% q j% M
• “Growth is good; risk is rotten!”
& Y$ z, I3 d2 e, F" {– growth increases a multiple
1 L# g" S0 K/ \+ o- i* c5 X8 |– risk decreases a multiple; v. ^7 K: B3 D: k
4 u2 m+ |) x) a9 R/ g& d% J3 Z2 GTheir Associated Ratios" {8 _$ e; Z o& m6 V
• Profitability;
5 j: U7 z$ ^8 j' z& [– Business goal - to make $$9 O$ B2 _ z( O9 E/ ~: N
– Ratios measures how much money we had to spend to make $X in sales
7 {9 A5 d/ ~0 l# H• Stability;
& S2 \/ k6 F1 g2 X, @1 W" l7 E– Business goal - to have a stable financial structure (balance its ownership of assets with debt and equity)
, {( h) P# r. n. a" B( X* b) N- k– Ratios measure the firm’s means of financing assets and ability to pay interest on debts
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2 Y- d$ f( Y( e, W2 ?, ]5 Financial Goals &Their Associated Ratios( {3 E- a5 C: [. \5 C1 h. g
• Liquidity;
& B. F7 g/ S9 U+ f1 ?- k– Business goal - ability to meet s-t obligations" Z9 F3 w: _; \4 _
– Ratios measure how liquid the firm is (how able the firm is to pay its shortterm
3 y$ q# i* u! i+ dobligations)
. J* Z) B: J! e" N. t$ Y• Efficiency;' ^8 e& h- I% l1 n2 W6 ?
– Business goal - to efficiently use assets* l" {( G$ i$ W. }/ Q4 {
– Ratios tell us how efficiently we are using our investments9 j; l% G/ h. V: {% C8 M
! i: Y8 n! b" R: C x ~: v, g# L• Growth;8 u: Z4 z6 S v( j) r7 ]$ k
– Business goal - to increase in size. |- i5 E+ J1 o3 k2 k; \6 z
– Ratios tell us whether the company is achieving any growth: u5 n9 x I: V1 D1 z$ @0 w
, H) R8 n0 g2 T, ~ U0 pInterpreting the Ratios1 z, T/ y; I- L8 e: ~* d; e* J
• Profitability;
6 \+ P( F* t0 Z% S& o& F: f– Vertical Analysis (of I/S)
( K, y/ t2 }- @. B% f WI/S items * 100 = %
. D+ C, M; `7 Z, d7 G5 H- k Sales& T# D+ f# X* ?' O# u
• Tells us it cost us X% of sales to make those sales4 l! O5 h( r0 B& l0 K
– Return on Investment/Equity" C+ z- e/ C$ P N) A. z l
Profit ATB4D = % 9 ^( E+ K8 K$ N4 k1 }, l
Average Equity, ?9 \8 m0 [2 I/ O- Q
[(Yr. 1 E + Yr. 2 E)/2]: {: H& c* ]( m' r
• Tells us how much profit we made relative to the investment made by the owners
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• Stability;: ?: v* H+ l' F4 @) W
– Net Worth: Total Assets3 R+ g3 _4 h- B" S- U6 T/ l
Total Equity = %
& L; t9 i$ F2 |! Y" P6 JTotal Assets* \$ b. i" i! t% m
• tells us what % of assets were financed through owner’s money
7 B5 K& Q- W6 ]3 d7 G _ D8 {– Debt to Assets' `: O& x2 q5 y
Total Debt = % , G$ A" J6 W4 w. T0 \9 {
Total Assets
1 N6 B/ J4 n% C+ J, [• Tells us what % of the assets were financed through debt# L7 A: e1 T2 |: a4 y# P
– Interest Coverage
9 A0 T, {5 z) `2 H* [; }8 ]: M- A EBIT = # times
4 K" Z, U& [) H' `Interest Expense0 M$ P% p9 x% M, O, K/ [
• tells us how many times we can pay interest
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• Liquidity;
# K/ ?9 R- D, O4 ~0 L. F– Current Ratio
4 A' X S' z: L; S( Z/ ]2 {1 U, UCurrent Assets = X:1
1 ?# P! C$ @# r4 }- jCurrent Liabilities( J; _+ i) l) p
• Tells us, if we liquidated all our current assets, how many times we can pay our debts A) t1 A) E& x0 q. b7 w- K" I
RULE OF THUMB: 2:1
! |( h$ T1 w! U* ^' a6 C– Acid Test
0 m4 f; A5 ~# Q- pCash + M/S + A/R = X:1% P9 ^+ k2 H9 F, t6 v. h& E- _ u
Current Liabilities0 t& n8 Z1 z, Y9 [7 Z( z' l, S1 d
• Tells us how many times we can pay our debts with the money easily available to us
+ B) w* b- B+ J O3 I; VRULE OF THUMB: 1:1/ I# s" Y9 l' q% ~0 f: c0 s, {
2 A: h% r# c ^6 v2 R4 S! z T– Working Capital/ O P7 m3 o3 _% O$ W
C.A - C.L = $X7 T9 S5 a. ]/ v! v9 i% y
• Tells us how much money we have to work with AFTER s-t debts are paid
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Efficiency;& I2 O* I& y1 u- t2 X }
– Age of Receivables
9 ~2 Z. N; _8 l3 u ^% s& [Accounts Receivabl = # Days
+ @* f8 S- j- u# W$ ^1 h (Sales / 365)
' `- l) E# ?, h, V1 B• Tells us how long it takes us to collect our $$4 ]. ^: O1 o% r- | i' o/ t% K
* t4 _+ s9 _/ H$ O7 f1 I- E
– Age Of Payables
2 w4 T" C3 c1 Y4 A4 H" }Accounts Payable = # Days
8 {- D' S# N0 z x- A, D(Purchases* / 365)- e2 G# }9 t9 V& K/ e2 d
• Tells us how long it takes us to pay our bills
; i; y- |6 q @! D( |) ?" \
5 i" q9 M: S3 t; t z– Age of Inventory4 O, e8 i" ^% r4 u3 ^
Inventory = # Days
5 C! Q) p# c }6 V(COGS / 365)
. }9 G$ J" d6 f7 Q• Tells us how long we are holding on to our inventory in the warehouse
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. H- [, O' u* s V/ I+ M• Growth;
- Z/ B7 V& y) G+ ?– Sales1 N0 g2 ^/ Y" w+ Y. t
– Net Income# i8 c; ]& x- b0 I9 t
– Total Assets J: U# _! h# p" l- c
– Equity
4 Q+ W p! N) Q/ FYr. 2 - Yr. 1 = %
! ~9 x; o+ m6 f G. L3 G. ^2 \ Yr. 1
- o6 ^4 X- v7 l/ G- X3 [# ^• Tells us whether the accounts are growing (and hence the company)
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1 Q4 e0 `! q$ m/ {, @2 zUnderstanding Ratios
6 W/ o* |8 r' D5 E+ b0 W• DO NOT CONCLUDE THAT “THE RATIO IS GOOD/BAD”, t1 r" G6 j; G5 V! D
• Either the NUMERATOR or the DENOMINATOR affects the ratio
, @& D* H+ S# J* Z& {• Ask yourself: “WHY HAS THE RATIO CHANGED & WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?”4 n' B. X% M5 H! H
– Which number caused the change?
) @! T; j: y/ ~5 n) f( V– Look for increasing or decreasing trends over time.- G8 l/ c+ {6 y( ^8 L0 W: ^
– Will these trends continue?
( B3 H: b4 P! d9 x7 z Q! d2 |4 u) B– How does the company compare to the industry?% T1 Z. H' W& b0 d
& ]; A' N4 W6 I9 V8 ], j, K
/ o/ a$ o: U7 u2 e" B) cClassifying Costs
2 \6 B5 @# q4 u! s7 `! m• Variable Costs* E( P* V7 j& `& p1 I
– a cost incurred with every unit sold/produced (volume)/ M5 H' d% h4 ~! |/ b* B
• Fixed Costs. i; H) {; O$ _; @& \# b; u
– cost that does not vary with volume |
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